KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 30 oct 2026, 1:45 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Punto medio del libro seleccionado
Before Jul 1, 2027 · —
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Precio guardado
Before Jul 1, 2027 57%
Before Jul 1, 2027 57%Calidad del mercado
21 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
102,2 €
Interés abierto
1,4 mil US$
Interés abierto bajoCompra / Venta
— / —
Before Jul 1, 2027Spread
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado10 sept 26, 2:00 UTC1 ene 27, 15:00 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidad de mercado · Before Jul 1, 2027
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsReglas
If James Fishback announces after Issuance that they will run for any government office in ANY YEAR before Jul 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:James FishbackThe New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC
- The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources. The announcement may concern any government office in any election year.
Reglas de cada resultado
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If James Fishback announces after Issuance that they will run for any government office in ANY YEAR before Jul 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If James Fishback announces after Issuance that they will run for any government office in ANY YEAR before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.