KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Joe Kent 7%Líder entre 10 opciones
Calidad del mercado
57 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
8,7 €
Liquidez
34,4 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
2.2 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 minutos
9 oct 25, 14:00 UTC3 nov 26, 15:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketReglas
If the named outcome has announced they will run for an elected public office in the 2026 election after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:The New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCperson
- The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency.
- Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement.
- The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed.
- Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify.
- Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office.
Mercados abiertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No-4.0pt72.3%
- Yes+4.0pt27.7%
- Volumen total
- 14,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 753,9 mil €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- D-House, D-Senate+2.0pt48.5%
- D-House, R-Senate35%
- R-House, R-Senate-2.0pt14.6%
+1 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+19.0pt63%
- Before Oct 1, 2027+14.0pt54%
- Before Jul 1, 2027+16.0pt52%
+7 resultados más
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt13%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.8pt51.5%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva46.5%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt2%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.5pt36.1%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt27.8%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.4%
+38 resultados más
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Who will run for public office in 2026??
- Kalshi cotiza Joe Kent al 7% a fecha de 14 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Who will run for public office in 2026??
- Está previsto que Who will run for public office in 2026? se resuelva el 3 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Who will run for public office in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the named outcome has announced they will run for an elected public office in the 2026 election after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.