Manifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: Yes (95.6%)
Resuelto: 20 ago 2026, 14:49
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Pronóstico comunitario actualSí 95.6%
Pronosticadores
39
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado7 abr 26, 23:5331 may 26, 23:59
Cronología de Probabilidad
Yes95.6%
No4.400000000000006%
95.6%
4.4%
Reglas
This is a tricky topic to define & subjective judgment is required—I will not try to fully define legally precise criteria.
- Trade with caution (I won't trade on this market).
- Context from Reuters.
- Part of Iran's peace proposal is a "Strait of Hormuz fee" that ships need to pay them to pass through the strait.
- This market resolves YES if any ships that passed through the strait on June 1 might need to pay this fee.
- A few details:
