In which years will Trump Serve Time? [Unlinked Multiple Choice]
Política de EE. UU.One-OffCrimen y justicia2aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual2029 7%Líder entre 8 opciones
Pronosticadores
26
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 horas
Desactualizado10 oct 23, 5:27 UTC1 ene 29, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
What new playable Super Smash Brothers characters will be added by 2028? [Unlinked Multiple Choice]
Manifold MarketsWhen will we know that COVID-19 came from a laboratory? [Unlinked Multiple Choice Derivative of Existing Market]
Manifold MarketsWill Mike Johnson ever attain a "higher status" in US politics? If so - when? [Unlinked Multiple Choice]
Manifold MarketsHow will Trump serve time?
Manifold MarketsTrump to serve his full term?
FutuurTrump out as President before 2027?
PolymarketReglas
A derivative market of @/MartinRandall/when-will-trump-be-imprisoned
- Note that this is not just about when Trump begins serving time, but also about in which years he will still be serving time before his release/death.
- This market uses the new Unlinked Multiple Choice format.
- The probabilites of each answer are independent of the other answers.
- Individual answers can resolve early, while the market as a whole remains open.
- Any year in which trump is serving a custodial sentence will resolve Yes.
