Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo US state landfall 56.5%Líder entre 18 opciones
Pronosticadores
12
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+15.6 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 18 minutos
18 may 26, 20:38 UTC30 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?
PolymarketOn the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, to what levels will the 2026 Atlantic season storms reach?
Manifold MarketsWill a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
KalshiWill a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?
PolymarketWill any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
PolymarketWill a hurricane make landfall in the continental U.S. before October 1, 2026?
Manifold MarketsReglas
Only Atlantic/Gulf.
- Only storms with hurricane force winds at time of landfall according to NHC advisories.
- Only during official season (June 1 - November 30).
Mercados abiertos
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 232,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 227,3 mil €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
- Houston+41.0pt71%
- Miami-6.0pt69%
+19 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 186,1 mil €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- 92° to 93°+36.0pt81.7%
- 90° to 91°-29.0pt7.7%
- 94° or above+3.0pt7.7%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+25.0pt68.2%
- 82° to 83°-12.0pt24.3%
- 79° or below-3.0pt4.7%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+60.0pt93.9%
- 28°C-13.5pt6.1%
- 21°C or below-1.4pt0%
+8 resultados más
KALSHIWill a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
- No89%
- Yes-4.0pt11%
- Volumen total
- 66,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 28,6 mil €
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 9?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Houston on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Boston on Sep 8, 2026?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de In which US states will hurricanes make landfall this Atlantic season??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No US state landfall al 57% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve In which US states will hurricanes make landfall this Atlantic season??
- Está previsto que In which US states will hurricanes make landfall this Atlantic season? se resuelva el 30 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida In which US states will hurricanes make landfall this Atlantic season??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Only Atlantic/Gulf.