PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 2:06 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Punto medio del libro seleccionado
Hawaii · —
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
—
Referencia guardada
Hawaii 8%Líder entre 19 opciones
Hawaii 8%Calidad del mercado
34 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
143,4 €
Liquidez
40,4 mil €
Alta liquidezInterés abierto
11,4 mil US$
Compra / Venta
— / —
HawaiiSpread
—
Comentarios
0
Cambio 7d
+1.3 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado18 ago 26, 20:31 UTC8 dic 26, 4:59 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
FloridaGanada
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- Sí
Principales tenedores
Cargando principales tenedores
Profundidad de mercado · Hawaii
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
—
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will a hurricane make landfall in a US state (Pacific)?
Manifold MarketsWill any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
PolymarketWill any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
PolymarketWill at least one major hurricane make landfall in the US*?
Manifold MarketsWill 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?
PolymarketWill a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
KalshiReglas
This market resolves based on whether a hurricane will make landfall in the state specified in the title between market creation and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- A market resolves to "Yes" if a hurricane makes landfall in that state within the timeframe, as described in official National Hurricane Center (NHC) advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/); for Hawaii, NOAA Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) advisories also apply.
- Otherwise, that market resolves to "No".
- A hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL) and the NHC reports maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher (Category 1 or greater) at the time of landfall.
- The state of landfall is determined by the surface center's location when it crosses the coastline.
- If a single hurricane makes separate landfalls in more than one listed state, each such state resolves to "Yes".