KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
No 89%
Calidad del mercado
73 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
26,5 mil €
Liquidez
26,3 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
7.0% / 11.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
13 ago 26, 17:30 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
PolymarketWhere will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?
PolymarketWill any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
PolymarketWill at least one major hurricane make landfall in the US*?
Manifold MarketsWill a hurricane make landfall in North Carolina this year?
KalshiWill any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the United States by November 30, 2026?
ForecastExReglas
If a 74 mph or higher hurricane makes landfall in Hawaii during the 2026 hurricane season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:AccuWeatherNBCAssociated PressNational Oceanic and Atmospheric AdministrationThe Wall Street Journalthe National Hurricane CenterThe Washington PostNational Weather ServiceCNN WeatherThe New York TimesBloomberg NewsThe Weather ChannelReuters
- This market encompasses the primary southeastern islands of the state of Hawaii.
- Those islands are: Niʻihau, Kauaʻi, Oʻahu, Molokaʻi, Lānaʻi, Kahoʻolawe, Maui, and the island of Hawai'i.
- It does not include the Midway Atoll, nor the Northwestern Islands, also known as the Leeward Hawaiian Islands.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
Mercados abiertos
WeatherPOLYMARKETHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 8?
- 32°C+69.0pt100%
- 27°C or below-0.1pt0%
- 28°C-0.3pt0%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 154,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 148,6 mil €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Minneapolis+20.0pt99%
- Miami-4.0pt70%
- New Orleans-7.0pt59%
+19 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 92,3 mil €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in London on September 8?
- 19°C+54.0pt98%
- 20°C-31.0pt2%
- 16°C or below-0.2pt0%
+8 resultados más
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above63.8%
- 88° to 89°19.1%
- 86° to 87°13.3%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 84,1 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 79,3 mil €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 8?
- 25°C+94.5pt100%
- 19°C or below-3.0pt0%
- 20°C-6.0pt0%
+8 resultados más
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 8?
- 29°C+70.5pt100%
- 26°C or below-8.4pt0%
- 27°C-10.4pt0%
+8 resultados más
- Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Taipei on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Miami on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Wellington on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 8?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026??
- Kalshi cotiza No al 89% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026??
- Está previsto que Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If a 74 mph or higher hurricane makes landfall in Hawaii during the 2026 hurricane season, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ¿Dónde más está listado Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Polymarket.