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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Weather
  3. On the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, to what levels will the 2026 Atlantic season storms reach?
Manifold Markets

On the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, to what levels will the 2026 Atlantic season storms reach?

WeatherYearly5m
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSin KYC
Pronóstico comunitario actual
Manifold Markets
Will Arthur reach Category 1 wind speeds? 54.4%
Líder entre 45 opciones
Pronosticadores

3

Tipo de pregunta

multiple choice

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado anteayer

Desactualizado
4 sept 25, 15:0530 nov 26, 23:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Will Arthur reach Category 1 wind speeds?54%

Reglas

Each storm/category will be considered a separate YES/NO market, resolved via reporting from https://weather.com/.

Manifold Markets
  • Markets will resolve YES within 48 hours of the reported Category upgrade.
  • Markets will resolve NO within 48 hours of the reported dissipation of a named storm or on November 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM EST, whichever comes first.
  • MARKET CREATOR DOES NOT TRADE IN THIS MARKET

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Reglas

Each storm/category will be considered a separate YES/NO market, resolved via reporting from https://weather.com/.

Manifold Markets
  • Markets will resolve YES within 48 hours of the reported Category upgrade.
  • Markets will resolve NO within 48 hours of the reported dissipation of a named storm or on November 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM EST, whichever comes first.
  • MARKET CREATOR DOES NOT TRADE IN THIS MARKET