Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actual2035 4.6%Líder entre 50 opciones
Pronosticadores
8
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado8 may 25, 17:35 UTC30 dic 73, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
This market resolves to the calendar year in which Pope Leo XIV (Robert Francis Prevost) ceases to be pope, whether by death, resignation, or deposition.
- The resolution source will be a public announcement by the Vatican or other clearly authoritative reporting (e.g. major international news organizations).
- Note: The year is determined by the effective date of his departure, not the date of announcement or funeral.
