In what year will Al achieve 95% or higher score on the FrontierMath benchmark?
17.2 pts (24h)IAOne-Off13aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual2026-2027 97.6%+17.2ptLíder entre 7 opciones
Pronosticadores
15
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+17.2 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
21 jun 25, 5:301 ene 40, 23:59
Tendencias
0.4%
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
0.3%
Reglas
We introduce FrontierMath, a benchmark of hundreds of original, exceptionally challenging mathematics problems crafted and vetted by expert mathematicians.
- The questions cover most major branches of modern mathematics -- from computationally intensive problems in number theory and real analysis to abstract questions in algebraic geometry and category theory.
- Solving a typical problem requires multiple hours of effort from a researcher in the relevant branch of mathematics, and for the upper end questions, multiple days.
- FrontierMath uses new, unpublished problems and automated verification to reliably evaluate models while minimizing risk of data contamination.
- Current state-of-the-art AI models solve under 2% of problems, revealing a vast gap between AI capabilities and the prowess of the mathematical community.
- As AI systems advance toward expert-level mathematical abilities, FrontierMath offers a rigorous testbed that quantifies their progress.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de In what year will Al achieve 95% or higher score on the FrontierMath benchmark??
- Manifold Markets cotiza 2026-2027 al 98% a fecha de 4 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve In what year will Al achieve 95% or higher score on the FrontierMath benchmark??
- Está previsto que In what year will Al achieve 95% or higher score on the FrontierMath benchmark? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2040.
- ¿Cómo se liquida In what year will Al achieve 95% or higher score on the FrontierMath benchmark??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: We introduce FrontierMath, a benchmark of hundreds of original, exceptionally challenging mathematics problems crafted and vetted by expert mathematicians.