Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual2027 62.3%Líder entre 8 opciones
Pronosticadores
3
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 horas
Desactualizado13 jul 25, 18:02 UTC1 ene 33, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsTop AI model in September?
KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketReglas
The GSO (Global Software Optimization) benchmark tests whether large-language-model agents can act like real performance engineers.
- It extracts 102 optimisation tasks from the commit histories of 10 production code-bases spanning C, C++, Rust, Go, Java, and Python.
- For each task the agent receives the full repo, a correctness test-suite, and a runtime profiler, then must submit a single patch that (i) keeps all tests green and (ii) reaches ≥ 95 % of the speed-up achieved by the human expert commit.
- The headline metric, Opt @ 1, is simply the fraction of tasks cleared on the very first try; no retries, no cherry-picking.
- All patches are rebuilt and timed in a sandbox so scores are reproducible and publicly displayed on the GSO leaderboard.
- State of play (July 2025)
Mercados abiertos
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+3 resultados más
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de In what year will AI achieve a score of 95% or higher on the GSO benchmark??
- Manifold Markets cotiza 2027 al 62% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve In what year will AI achieve a score of 95% or higher on the GSO benchmark??
- Está previsto que In what year will AI achieve a score of 95% or higher on the GSO benchmark? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2033.
- ¿Cómo se liquida In what year will AI achieve a score of 95% or higher on the GSO benchmark??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: The GSO (Global Software Optimization) benchmark tests whether large-language-model agents can act like real performance engineers.