In the first Russian Duma election where United Russia does not win a plurality of seats, which party will?
PolíticaOne-OffElecciónRusia / Ucrania1m
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Communist Party (CPRF) 28.6%Líder entre 9 opciones
Communist Party (CPRF) 28.6%Pronosticadores
5
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multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 minutos
23 jul 24, 13:00 UTC30 nov 26, 20:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
This question will resolve to the party that gains the plurality of the seat in the Russian State Duma the first time it is neither the United Russia (UR) party nor its direct successor. [Note: closing time may be extended]
- In the case two parties gain the same number of seats:
- If none of them are UR: resolves based on the number of votes
- If one of them is UR: resolves to the second party
