In 2050, who will think a Trump assassination attempt was a false flag? [Resolves to %]
PolíticaManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualA streamer, influencer, or other vacuous media personality 75.3%Líder entre 7 opciones
Pronosticadores
7
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 19 horas
Desactualizado27 abr 26, 0:39 UTC31 dic 50, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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Longer form (canonical): In 2050, which of the listed sources will believe President Trump and/or his allies staged an assassination attempt against him?
- At some point in the year 2050, I will identify a member of each listed class and ask them whether they think any assassination attempt targeting Donald Trump during his presidency was an operation planned by Trump and/or his close allies.
- I will target people who I think have a low chance of being aware of this market.
- I will try to get them to land on a percentage chance.
- I will then resolve the answers to those percentages.
- If the subject is overall noncooperative, I will likely just choose another member of the class.
