Pronóstico comunitario actual
Other 47.3%Líder entre 4 opciones
Pronosticadores
22
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado3 jul 24, 1:56 UTC22 ene 29, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Donald Trump be president of the United States on 12/31/2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump be President at any point in 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill 110 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day while Trump is President?
Manifold MarketsWill an AI professional-impersonation bill become law in New York?
KalshiU.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
PolymarketWill the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?
KalshiReglas
Resolves to “the named outcome” if the named outcome, otherwise to name of individual appointee.
- If Trump ceases being President for any reason, will be the successor President(s) within same presidential term.
- Update 2025-12-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve to a confirmed appointee in the Director role, not an Acting director or someone serving under a Presidential Delegated Duty (PDD).
- Acting directors do not qualify for resolution.
Mercados abiertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 605,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 697,7 mil €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 471,3 mil €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 resultados más
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de If Trump is President in 2025, who will be his first appointee to lead the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Other al 47% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve If Trump is President in 2025, who will be his first appointee to lead the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management??
- Está previsto que If Trump is President in 2025, who will be his first appointee to lead the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management? se resuelva el 22 de enero de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida If Trump is President in 2025, who will be his first appointee to lead the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves to “the named outcome” if the named outcome, otherwise to name of individual appointee.