If Trump is imprisoned before 2030, will he serve house arrest but NOT prison time?
US PoliticsOne-OffCrime & Justice3aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 71.7%
Pronosticadores
20
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 horas
Desactualizado15 ago 23, 15:53 UTC2 ene 30, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
Resolves N/A if Trump never goes to prison or is under house arrest post-conviction.
- Resolves NO if Trump serves prison time post-conviction.
- Resolves YES if Trump serves house arrest post-conviciton but NOT prison time.
- This is meant to tease apart the differences between markets like the following: https://manifold.markets/MartinRandall/when-will-trump-be-imprisoned
- https://manifold.markets/Duncan/will-trump-spend-any-time-in-prison
- https://manifold.markets/cy/will-donald-trump-serve-any-prison
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de If Trump is imprisoned before 2030, will he serve house arrest but NOT prison time??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 72% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve If Trump is imprisoned before 2030, will he serve house arrest but NOT prison time??
- Está previsto que If Trump is imprisoned before 2030, will he serve house arrest but NOT prison time? se resuelva el 2 de enero de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida If Trump is imprisoned before 2030, will he serve house arrest but NOT prison time??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves N/A if Trump never goes to prison or is under house arrest post-conviction.