Aviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 25 oct 2026, 20:40 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 58.6%
Pronosticadores
17
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado7 jul 26, 14:17 UTC7 jul 27, 14:05 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Nigel Farage face a second Clacton byelection in 2026?
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PolymarketWill a party Nigel Farage is a member of win the next UK General Election?
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Manifold MarketsNigel Farage becomes UK Prime Minister before 2035?
Manifold MarketsAnother Clacton by-election called in 2026?
PolymarketReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve YES if Nigel Farage wins the upcoming Clacton by-election and a successful recall petition forces him to vacate the seat again before the next general election for the House of Commons.
- This market will resolve NO if Nigel Farage wins the upcoming Clacton by-election and he is not recalled before the next general election for the House of Commons.
- This market will be voided if Nigel Farage does not win the Clacton by-election.
- Clarifications
- The close date may be changed as necessary.
