[M5000 subsidy] Will 10,000+ people receive Lantern Bioworks' cavity prevention treatment by 2030?
One-OffHealth & Medicine3aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 67.8%
Pronosticadores
118
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 horas
Desactualizado20 jul 23, 20:26 UTC1 ene 30, 7:59 UTC
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PolymarketReglas
Lantern Bioworks is attempting to cure cavities via a treatment that modifies the oral microbiome; see this manifund proposal and this precondition market.
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/Austin/if-funded-will-lantern-bioworks-suc)If they achieve their bioengineering goal They have achieved their bioengineering goal.
- Will they be able to get "shots in arms" (or, uh, "bacteria in mouths") at a 10,000-person scale by 2030? (Participants treated in trials count.)
- It's not clear how public this information will be, though hopefully they'll be willing to share.
- Resolution may be delayed.
- If 6+ months after close it seems like we won't get a concrete answer, may resolve to % based on my credence that this has happened.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de [M5000 subsidy] Will 10,000+ people receive Lantern Bioworks' cavity prevention treatment by 2030??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 68% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve [M5000 subsidy] Will 10,000+ people receive Lantern Bioworks' cavity prevention treatment by 2030??
- Está previsto que [M5000 subsidy] Will 10,000+ people receive Lantern Bioworks' cavity prevention treatment by 2030? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida [M5000 subsidy] Will 10,000+ people receive Lantern Bioworks' cavity prevention treatment by 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Lantern Bioworks is attempting to cure cavities via a treatment that modifies the oral microbiome; see this manifund proposal and this precondition market.