Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualBe a cabinet minister on 1 April 2027 2.2%Líder entre 3 opciones
Pronosticadores
23
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
-13.8 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 horas
Desactualizado27 feb 26, 3:56 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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Out as PM means he is out as prime minister for any length of time, or announced his exit by 11.59pm 31 Dec 2026 London Time.
- Resolves n/a if Keir Starmer is pm for all of 2026 and has not announced his exit by end of year.
- Stay on= be an mp continuously until then.
- If he leaves parliament, will resolve no immediately, even if he wins a byelection before the next election.
- Add Suggestions for answers below.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de If Keir Starmer is out as UK PM in 2026, will he…??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Be a cabinet minister on 1 April 2027 al 2% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve If Keir Starmer is out as UK PM in 2026, will he…??
- Está previsto que If Keir Starmer is out as UK PM in 2026, will he…? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida If Keir Starmer is out as UK PM in 2026, will he…??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Out as PM means he is out as prime minister for any length of time, or announced his exit by 11.59pm 31 Dec 2026 London Time.