Pronóstico comunitario actual
Completely unspecified (US government confidently asserts aliens exist but provide no further information) 42.9%Líder entre 5 opciones
Pronosticadores
30
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado24 feb 26, 19:02 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
What will be true about the next person confirmed to the US Supreme Court [Mega Market]?
Manifold MarketsWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Manifold MarketsNASA confirms aliens before 2027?
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PolymarketReglas
Resolves to an option IF EITHER the Kalshi or Polymarket question on U.S. confirmation of aliens resolves YES in 2026.
- https://kalshi.com/markets/kxaliens/aliens/kxaliens-27
- https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-confirm-that-aliens-exist-before-2027
- NOTE: neither of these markets requires aliens to actually exist.
- They just require a cabinet member or federal agency to definitively state that aliens exist.
- If both resolve NO, then this resolves to N/A.
Mercados abiertos
Space
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes91.6%
- No8.4%
- Volumen total
- 244,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 243,3 mil €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.6pt98%
- Google-0.9pt1%
- OpenAI-0.8pt1%
+18 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 57,2 mil €
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 7+8.0pt92%
- Above 8-6.0pt34%
- Above 9+2.0pt10%
+9 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIMTV Video Music Awards 2026: Who will perform
- Raye+55.0pt99%
- Any member of GENER8ION+73.0pt99%
- Madonna+11.0pt99%
+24 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+1.4pt54.4%
- SpaceX44.7%
- OpenAI-0.1pt1%
+9 resultados más
KALSHISpaceX Starship 14th launch?
- Before Oct 16, 202698%
- Before Oct 1, 2026-4.0pt88%
- Before Sep 29, 202687%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 186 mil €
- Volumen 24h
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- Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de If aliens are "confirmed" by the US in 2026, which kind of aliens will they be??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Completely unspecified (US government confidently asserts aliens exist but provide no further information) al 43% a fecha de 17 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve If aliens are "confirmed" by the US in 2026, which kind of aliens will they be??
- Está previsto que If aliens are "confirmed" by the US in 2026, which kind of aliens will they be? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida If aliens are "confirmed" by the US in 2026, which kind of aliens will they be??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves to an option IF EITHER the Kalshi or Polymarket question on U.S. confirmation of aliens resolves YES in 2026.