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Datos del 24 oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · política pm-quality-4
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Will cause extinction, foom 45.1%Líder entre 8 opciones
Will cause extinction, foom 45.1%Pronosticadores
27
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
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Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado29 dic 23, 13:14 UTC1 ene 01, 4:59 UTC
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This is a duplicate of this question but with the "will not cause extinction" answer removed.
- If humanity is not extinct in 2100 (or if the extinction was caused by something other than AI), this question will resolve n/a.
- Please try to identify which of the following scenarios will be the "main" cause for human extinction:
- Foom: rapidly self-improving AI destroys humanity as a result of pursuing some misaligned goal
- Terminator: AI blatantly disregards human instructions and pursues its own goals.
- Alignment Failure: AI appears superficially good but causes extinction due to a subtly misstated goal.
