Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualElectoral democracy 79%Líder entre 4 opciones
Pronosticadores
14
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado23 oct 25, 13:55 UTC1 jun 27, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
0.2%
0.1%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
How will the United Kingdom be classed by Regimes of the World in 2028?
Manifold MarketsHow will the United Kingdom be classed by Regimes of the World in 2027?
Manifold MarketsUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
KalshiWill the United Kingdom become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Ye visit The United Kingdom this year?
KalshiNext government of the United Kingdom?
KalshiReglas
Resolves at the classification of the UK according to the Regimes of the World data, up to now published by V-DEM, in 2026.
- Update 2025-10-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve according to the Regimes of the World classification system, which uses the following categories:
- the named outcome
Mercados abiertos
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+60.0pt71%
- claude-opus-5-max+1.0pt7%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 132,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 100,3 mil €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.8pt60.8%
- ChatGPT+0.5pt25.5%
- Grok-3.4pt5.9%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 9,1 M €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+22.0pt62.2%
- 2027+11.0pt28.6%
- 2026+4.5pt9.2%
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+5.0pt80.4%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt12.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 322,4 mil €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-1.0pt66%
- 1490+-3.5pt51%
- 1500+-1.0pt30%
+2 resultados más
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de How will the United Kingdom be classed by Regimes of the World in 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Electoral democracy al 79% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve How will the United Kingdom be classed by Regimes of the World in 2026??
- Está previsto que How will the United Kingdom be classed by Regimes of the World in 2026? se resuelva el 1 de junio de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida How will the United Kingdom be classed by Regimes of the World in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves at the classification of the UK according to the Regimes of the World data, up to now published by V-DEM, in 2026.