Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual8 or fewer 44%+8.9ptLíder entre 8 opciones
Pronosticadores
6
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+29.8 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
14 ago 26, 8:3130 sept 26, 23:59
Tendencias
Reglas
Resolves to number of successful launches of all variants of orbital launch vehicles on Nextspaceflight's Manifest Page. https://nextspaceflight.com/launches/?q=&f=agency_1&tab=
- for September 2026, UTC time.
- If that page is demonstrably wrong or out of date, then I will either wait for update or a correct source will be decided upon and used as a replacement.
- A launch is considered successful if it is outlined in green on the linked manifest page.
- Launches outlined with red (failure) or orange (partial failure) will not count as successful.
- (Starship is considered an orbital launch vehicle, regardless of true orbit not being demonstrated.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de How many successful SpaceX launches in September 2026 UTC?
- Manifold Markets cotiza 8 or fewer al 44% a fecha de 4 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve How many successful SpaceX launches in September 2026 UTC?
- Está previsto que How many successful SpaceX launches in September 2026 UTC se resuelva el 30 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida How many successful SpaceX launches in September 2026 UTC?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves to number of successful launches of all variants of orbital launch vehicles on Nextspaceflight's Manifest Page. https://nextspaceflight.com/launches/?q=&f=agency_1&tab=