Will SpaceX conduct at least half of all successful orbital launches in 2027?
TecnologíaOne-OffEspacio1a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 75%
Pronosticadores
9
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado21 jun 26, 2:49 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
How many orbital launches will there be in 2027?
Manifold MarketsHow many Falcon 9/Heavy launches will SpaceX conduct in October 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a successful orbital rocket launch from UK soil this decade? (Eric Berger prediction)
Manifold MarketsWhich Scottish Spaceport will see the first successful orbital launch?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketHow many launches will SpaceX have in October?
KalshiReglas
In 2022, there were 178 successful orbital launches; SpaceX's Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy rockets accounted for 61 of them, or 34% of successful launches.
- In 2023, Falcon rockets accounted for 96 out of 211, or 45%.
- In 2024, it was 133 out of 255:@/EvanDaniel/will-spacex-conduct-at-least-half-o
- In 2025, it was 165 out of 317.
- In 2026 so far, it is 72 out of 140.
- Will SpaceX be responsible for over half of successful orbital launches in 2027?