How many Palestinian prisoners will Israel release in exchange for Hamas hostages?
Middle EastOne-OffManifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: 4001-5000 (47.7%)
Resuelto: 7 ago 2026, 5:05
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Pronóstico comunitario actual4001-5000 47.7%Líder entre 10 opciones
Pronosticadores
38
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 25 días
Desactualizado2 nov 23, 4:122 ene 26, 4:59
Cronología de Probabilidad
00.5%
1-10000.9%
1001-20003.7%
2001-30007.3%
3001-400037.1%
4001-500047.7%
5001-60001.6%
6001-80000.4%
8001-10,0000.4%
>10,0000.4%
47.7%
37.1%
7.3%
3.7%
1.6%
0.9%
0.5%
0.4%
0.4%
0.4%
Reglas
Hamas has announced that they will release the Israeli hostages in the Gaza strip in exchange for all Palestinian prisoners in Israel.
- According to Al Jazeera, there are more than 10,000 Palestinian prisoners in Israeli jails.
- This question resolves to the total number of Palestinian prisoners who are released by Israel in exchanges for the return of hostages held by Hamas.
- If it is determined that all hostages have been rescued, released, or died before closing, this question may resolve early.
- If no Palestinian prisoners have been released in such exchanges by closing, resolves to 0.
- Update 2026-01-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Detainees are counted as prisoners for the purposes of this market.
