Pronóstico comunitario actual
>= 5 78.3%Líder entre 3 opciones
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2
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multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 29 minutos
16 jun 26, 20:55 UTC31 dic 28, 23:59 UTC
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Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
How many crewed orbital space launches will there be in 2027?
Manifold MarketsHow many orbital launches will there be in 2027?
Manifold MarketsTotal space launches in September
KalshiWill SpaceX conduct at least half of all successful orbital launches in 2027?
Manifold MarketsHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
KalshiHow many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
KalshiReglas
There were 8 in 2025, and 3 so far in 2026.
Mercados abiertos
Space
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt88%
- OpenAI-1.7pt10%
- Google2%
+18 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 85,3 mil €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes59.4%
- No40.6%
- Volumen total
- 153,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 39,2 mil €
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+3.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 resultados más
POLYMARKETSpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
- October 3197%
- Successful splash down?84%
- September 30-5.3pt83%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 409,9 mil €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+1.3pt59.8%
- SpaceX-4.5pt38.1%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 resultados más
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-1.0pt84%
- Above 9-27.0pt46%
- Above 10-8.0pt23%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- Next Grok Model (4.7+) released on?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- AI data center in space by which date?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de How many crewed orbital space launches will there be in 2028??
- Manifold Markets cotiza >= 5 al 78% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve How many crewed orbital space launches will there be in 2028??
- Está previsto que How many crewed orbital space launches will there be in 2028? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida How many crewed orbital space launches will there be in 2028??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: There were 8 in 2025, and 3 so far in 2026.