Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual6-10 years 20.6%Líder entre 7 opciones
Pronosticadores
21
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 horas
Desactualizado26 ago 25, 17:57 UTC26 ago 45, 17:49 UTC
Tendencias
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Time will start from the day of the wedding (if no reception, then day of court house marriage license) until date of official public announcement or official reporting of a divorce.
- Rumors and "separations" don't count, needs to be actual divorce filing.
- A full year needs to occur to make it into next category (e.g. 5 years and 10 months would be "the named outcome")
- Update 2025-10-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - If either or both spouses die while still married (before any divorce filing), the market will resolve to N/A (void).
