Pronóstico comunitario actual
September 2026 1.395C or more 40.5%-2.2ptLíder entre 6 opciones
Pronosticadores
6
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+10.2 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
28 ago 26, 12:23 UTC11 oct 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Global Average Temperature August 2026 per LOTI v4 vs 1951-1980 base period (NASA Gistemp)
Manifold MarketsGlobal Average Temperature 2026 per LOTI v4 vs 1951-1980 base period (NASA Gistemp)
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KalshiConsecutive days of average temperature in Oklahoma City above 90°F - week of Sep 7, 2026
KalshiConsecutive days of average temperature in Las Vegas above 90°F - week of Sep 7, 2026
KalshiWill the increase in global average temperature from 1978 to 2048 be above 1 degree Celsius?
Manifold MarketsReglas
Data is currently at csv file or
- (or such updated location or updated version for this Gistemp v4 LOTI data see data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt )
- January 2024 might show as 124 in hundredths of a degree C, this is +1.24C above the 1951-1980 base period.
- If it shows as 1.22 then it is in degrees i.e. 1.22C.
- Same logic/interpretation as this will be applied.
- If the version or base period changes then I will consult with traders over what is best way for any such change to have least effect on betting positions or consider N/A if it is unclear what the sensible least effect resolution should be.
