Aviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 25 oct 2026, 13:26 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actual
1.275 degrees Celsius or more 56.9%+0.9ptLíder entre 9 opciones
Pronosticadores
8
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
-0.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado1 sept 26, 10:12 UTC14 ene 27, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Global Average Temperature Oct 2026 per LOTI v4 vs 1951-1980 base period (NASA Gistemp)
Manifold MarketsWill the increase in global average temperature from 1978 to 2048 be above 1 degree Celsius?
Manifold MarketsWill Denver never have a below-average temperature year between 2020 and 2055?
Manifold MarketsWill the global average yield of rice exceed 4.75 metric tons per hectare for the 2027 marketing year?
ForecastExWill the global average yield of rice exceed 4.74 metric tons per hectare for the 2027 marketing year?
ForecastExWill the global average yield of rice exceed 4.78 metric tons per hectare for the 2027 marketing year?
ForecastExReglas
Details of data is currently at https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/
- with a txt file with the data at data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt
- (or such updated location or updated version for this Gistemp v4 LOTI data)
- For this annual market, it is the J-D column for 2026 when that is shown after Dec 2026 data has been published.
- More options can be added but please keep these sensible.
- January 2024 might show as 124 in hundredths of a degree C, this is +1.24C above the 1951-1980 base period.
