From which country will originate the AI that first passes Manifold AI's high quality Turing Test?
IA4a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actual
United States 67%Líder entre 5 opciones
United States 67%Pronosticadores
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Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado28 ago 24, 6:58 UTC1 ene 31, 7:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
Resolves as the country of origin of the AI that first passes this Turing test:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/ManifoldAI/agi-when-resolves-to-the-year-in-wh-d5c5ad8e4708)If the creators are a collaboration between multiple research groups in multiple countries, this will resolve proportionally with counties of origin of each group (e.g. 2 US groups and 1 French group resolves 2:1 US:France).
- If groups are sorted by contribution, and there is some first-author equivalent tier of contribution, resolves only to that subset.