Manifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: No change
Resuelto: 29 jul 2026, 18:23
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Pronóstico comunitario actualNo change 100%+26.6ptLíder entre 4 opciones
Pronosticadores
53
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 22 días
Desactualizado23 jun 26, 15:4329 jul 26, 18:23
Cronología de Probabilidad
25 bps decrease0%
No change100%
25 bps increase0%
50 bps increase0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Reglas
This market resolves based on the change in the upper bound of the target federal funds rate from its level immediately before the July 2026 FOMC meeting (July 28-29, 2026).
- The outcome is determined by the net basis-point change announced in the official July FOMC statement.
- If the Fed changes the rate by an amount not matching a displayed option, the change will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps for resolution (e.g., a 12.5 bps move is treated as 25 bps).
- Resolution Sources:
- The official FOMC statement for the July 2026 meeting:
- https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
