EOY 2030, how difficult will it be to get gender affirming care (puberty blockers, HRT) for a minor in California?
IA4a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
About the same as in 2024 45.9%Líder entre 4 opciones
About the same as in 2024 45.9%Pronosticadores
50
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado22 ene 25, 19:13 UTC1 ene 31, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
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KalshiReglas
As of 2024, California, along with 13 other states and D.C., has enacted "shield laws" protecting access to gender-affirming care (GAC) for minors.
- These laws protect patients, guardians, and medical professionals from prosecution and ensure continued access to treatments like puberty blockers and hormone replacement therapy (HRT).
- Conversely, 26 states have enacted restrictions or bans on GAC for minors.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve based on a comparative analysis of the accessibility of gender-affirming care for minors in California at the end of 2030 versus 2024.
- Key factors that will be considered: