Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?
DeportesOne-OffAjedrezSalud y medicinaCiencia1mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualNo 71.9%
Pronosticadores
25
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado10 ago 22, 17:55 UTC18 dic 26, 14:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will "Do confident short timelines make sense?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsDid HIV come from a laboratory?
Manifold Markets10. Brain-computer interfaces transition to mainstream technology, Neuralink position in lead shakier [See full title!]
Manifold MarketsWas Covid-19 an intentional bioweapon release?
Manifold MarketsCovid Origins MegaMarket - lots of unlinked binary questions about the steps on the way, varying lengths
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
PolymarketReglas
TL;DR Evidence that "short sleeper genes" exist which accelerate repair processes that take place during sleep.
- This allows some individuals to not require as much sleep to be healthy.
- John Boyle who did the writeup gives "at least 50% that the genes work as advertised".
- Resolution Criteria:
- Resolves yes if "short sleeper genes" work as claimed in the article once proven by further studies and trials.
- Tentative resolution date is EOY 2026.
