Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 70.4%
Pronosticadores
15
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 horas
Desactualizado28 jul 26, 4:56 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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I will open a yes/no poll titled "Is Model UN is dumb?" when this market closes (end of 2026).
- The poll will go on for 10 days and the market will resolve to the majority's vote.
- For context, Model UN stands for Model United Nations:
- It's mostly a high school activity
- Basically a simulation of the real United Nations where students, called "delegates" are each assigned a country to represent (roleplay...)
- For each conference, a group of "delegates" (there are often hundreds of delegates per group) are assigned a topic to adress
Mercados abiertos
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 605,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 693 mil €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 603,1 M €
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 resultados más
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 resultados más
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.1%
- Marco Rubio20.6%
- Ron DeSantis4.9%
+35 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 54,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 266,9 mil €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volumen total
- 12,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 248,7 mil €
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- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Do Manifold users think that Model UN is dumb? (resolves end of 2026)?
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 70% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Do Manifold users think that Model UN is dumb? (resolves end of 2026)?
- Está previsto que Do Manifold users think that Model UN is dumb? (resolves end of 2026) se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Do Manifold users think that Model UN is dumb? (resolves end of 2026)?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: I will open a yes/no poll titled "Is Model UN is dumb?" when this market closes (end of 2026).