¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Do Manifold users think that Model UN is dumb? (resolves end of 2026)?

Manifold Markets cotiza No al 70.4% a fecha de 27 de octubre de 2026.

¿Cuándo se resuelve Do Manifold users think that Model UN is dumb? (resolves end of 2026)?

Está previsto que Do Manifold users think that Model UN is dumb? (resolves end of 2026) se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Pronóstico comunitario actual

No 70.4%

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 15 horas

Desactualizado

28 jul 26, 4:56 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Reglas

I will open a yes/no poll titled "Is Model UN is dumb?" when this market closes (end of 2026).

The poll will go on for 10 days and the market will resolve to the majority's vote.
For context, Model UN stands for Model United Nations:
It's mostly a high school activity
Basically a simulation of the real United Nations where students, called "delegates" are each assigned a country to represent (roleplay...)
For each conference, a group of "delegates" (there are often hundreds of delegates per group) are assigned a topic to adress