Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 79.3%
Pronosticadores
2
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado14 abr 26, 18:13 UTC14 abr 00, 18:08 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
In my LessWrong essay "Nectome: All That I Know", I make the claim: "Most cryonics clients wait over a day between legal death and being cryopreserved." This is hard to check, but might be possible to verify at some point in the future.
- This market will resolve YES if there is strong evidence that a majority of people who were cryopreserved before 2026 spent at least 24 hours after legal death but before having their remains vitrified at cryogenic temperatures.
- It will resolve NO if there is strong evidence that a majority were cryopreserved with less than a day's wait time.
- I won't resolve until there is clear, unambiguous evidence about how it should resolve.
- I also won't bet.
Mercados abiertos
Health & Medicine
POLYMARKETMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- ↑500+0.1pt100%
- ↑1k+0.1pt100%
- ↑2k+0.2pt100%
+9 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 6,9 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 28,1 mil €
POLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No97%
- Yes3%
- Volumen total
- 15,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 21,5 mil €
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.5pt93.1%
- Yes+0.5pt6.9%
- Volumen total
- 944,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 8,2 mil €
KALSHIWhich countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?
- Kenya14%
- India6%
- Ethiopia-2.0pt5%
+13 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 22,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 600061%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 882,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,7 mil €
KALSHIWill 3 mg THC beverages qualify as hemp under federal law?
- On Nov 13, 202696%
- On Mar 13, 202789%
- On Nov 19, 202786%
+1 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 16,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,3 mil €
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- When will the FDA approve Compass Pathways' COMP360 Psilocybin?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- Pandemic in 2026?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?
- Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
- When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?
- FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- How many gonorrhea cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Did most cryopreserved humans go 24 hours before cryopreservation??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 79% a fecha de 15 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Did most cryopreserved humans go 24 hours before cryopreservation??
- Está previsto que Did most cryopreserved humans go 24 hours before cryopreservation? se resuelva el 14 de abril de 3000.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Did most cryopreserved humans go 24 hours before cryopreservation??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: In my LessWrong essay "Nectome: All That I Know", I make the claim: "Most cryonics clients wait over a day between legal death and being cryopreserved." This is hard to check, but might be possible to verify at some point in the future.