Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 70.5%
Pronosticadores
18
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 minutos
22 oct 26, 21:06 UTC31 dic 28, 22:02 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Ilhan Omar be a US House member on 1 Feb 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Ilhan Omar's citizenship be revoked in 2026?
KalshiWill Ilhan Omar be deported by which date?
PolymarketIlhan Omar arrested by which date?
PolymarketUS files Ilhan Omar denaturalization case by which date?
PolymarketIlhan Omar federally charged by which date?
PolymarketReglas
Resolves according to a consensus of popular reporting at the end of 2028 (or earlier, if this consensus arises).
- If there's an open debate and reporting disagrees on the subject, or even if reporting refuses to touch this story with a 10-foot pole but most traders on here have convincing evidence supporting or rejecting this thesis, then this may resolve according to my judgment, consulting with other Manifold moderators / superusers / expert forecasters.
- I will obviously not bet on this market.
- Yes, half-siblings count.
- Resolves to the spirit of the question.
- If her ex-husband was, say, her adopted brother, but DNA tests show no relation, his would still count as well.