[Credit Default Swap] How many of these markets will resolve to YES?
Negocios y empresasMacro y economía1aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual[AAA] At least 1 market resolves to YES. 100%Líder entre 10 opciones
Pronosticadores
34
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado16 nov 23, 0:06 UTC18 sept 28, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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Manifold MarketsReglas
A Credit Default Swap is a financial derivative that allows investors to hedge or speculate on the credit risk of a particular entity.
- Essentially, a CDS is an insurance policy against the default of a borrower.
- In the context of prediction markets like Manifold, we can draw a parallel by considering the likelihood of certain events (or 'defaults') occurring.
- In this case, this market would assess the likelihood of various other markets resolving to a 'Yes' outcome.
- This approach mirrors the CDS concept, as participants are essentially speculating on the 'default' (or outcome) of these other markets.
- Here are the ten open yes/no markets with the most traders.
