Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 84%
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45
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado9 may 25, 14:04 UTC31 dic 39, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiReglas
Will resolve positively if by 2040 Catholic church officially reconizes that at least some AIs may have souls.
- In the context of this question, AI includes any sort of entities executed on a traditional or quantum computer, including ML models, code and full brain emulations.
- For the question to resolve as YES, the Catholic church has to either explicitly declare that AIs have souls, or to declare that AIs have moral standing at least at the level of higher animals.
- Recognizing that an AIs can sin or suffer also qualifies.
- If by 2040-01-01 I haven't seen any relevant news and none have been linked in this posts comments, I will resolve the questions as NO by default.
- I do not bet on my own questions.
Mercados abiertos
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 135,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 102,7 mil €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 9,1 M €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 325 mil €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 resultados más
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Catholic church recognizes AI souls by 2040??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 84% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Catholic church recognizes AI souls by 2040??
- Está previsto que Catholic church recognizes AI souls by 2040? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2039.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Catholic church recognizes AI souls by 2040??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Will resolve positively if by 2040 Catholic church officially reconizes that at least some AIs may have souls.