By when will 5% of Americans cite "advancement of computers/technology" as the US's biggest problem? (Gallup)
IA8aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualBy end of 2035 59.3%Líder entre 11 opciones
Pronosticadores
21
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 horas
Desactualizado6 feb 26, 9:31 UTC31 dic 34, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution Criteria:
- This question resolves to the year in which the trailing four-month average reaches ≥5% of Americans giving answers classified as "advancement of computers/technology" to the question: What do you think is the most important problem facing the country today?
- Resolution is based on the monthly updated Gallup website.
- On this website, "-" means 0% and "*" means <0.5%.
- For the purpose of this question, we will interpret "*" as 0.25%.
- If a new category named "AI" or similar is added, we will either take the sum (if we determine there is no overlap in respondents) or the maximum (if we are unable to rule out overlap) between these categories.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de By when will 5% of Americans cite "advancement of computers/technology" as the US's biggest problem? (Gallup)?
- Manifold Markets cotiza By end of 2035 al 59% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve By when will 5% of Americans cite "advancement of computers/technology" as the US's biggest problem? (Gallup)?
- Está previsto que By when will 5% of Americans cite "advancement of computers/technology" as the US's biggest problem? (Gallup) se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2034.
- ¿Cómo se liquida By when will 5% of Americans cite "advancement of computers/technology" as the US's biggest problem? (Gallup)?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution Criteria: