By 2028, will an AI safety evaluation become a mandatory requirement for autonomous vehicle manufacturers?
One-OffIARegulación1a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 72.7%
Pronosticadores
16
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado29 jun 23, 17:53 UTC31 dic 27, 6:29 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Mandatory DNA synthesis screening law in the US by '27?
Manifold MarketsWill I be able to hail a driverless autonomous vehicle from Oakland to SF or back by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will it first be possible to rent an autonomous vehicle to drive between cities in North America without a license?
Manifold MarketsThe first fully autonomous vehicle will be sold to consumers in 2026 — but it won’t be from Tesla
Manifold MarketsSEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?
PolymarketWill the SEC eliminate the quarterly reporting requirement?
KalshiReglas
(in more than 50% of countries with autonomous vehicle regulations)
- I will accept loose interpretations of "ai safety evaluations", the spirit of the question is what matters rn