Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 95.1%
Pronosticadores
28
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado5 ene 24, 10:59 UTC12 ene 28, 8:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
By when will AIs perform at least as well as humans on GAIA?
Manifold MarketsBy 2029, AI can provide phone banking services as well as human operators, without annoying customers more than humans?
Manifold MarketsBefore 2035, will there exist any AI that can perform arbitrary tasks in Minecraft?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiReglas
Perform as well as the best human entrants in the Putnam competition—a math contest whose questions have known solutions, but which are difficult for the best young mathematicians
Mercados abiertos
AIKALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-3.0pt56.3%
- ChatGPT-3.3pt24.3%
- Grok+2.4pt7.8%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 9,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 102,1 mil €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-1.0pt84%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,4 M €
KALSHIWhat will Spotify CEO say during Goldman Sachs Communacopia?
- Anthropic / Claude+62.0pt99%
- Video+55.0pt99%
- Royalty / Licensing+63.0pt99%
+14 resultados más
POLYMARKETAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027-0.5pt62.5%
- 2026-10.0pt25%
- September 30, 2026-4.0pt12.5%
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 resultados más
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 4.1%+8.0pt99%
- Above 3.7%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.2%99%
+6 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 44,4 mil €
- Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Anthropic market share this week
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- What will Macy's say during their next earnings call?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de By 2028, AI can perform as well as the best human entrants in the Putnam competition.?
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 95% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve By 2028, AI can perform as well as the best human entrants in the Putnam competition.?
- Está previsto que By 2028, AI can perform as well as the best human entrants in the Putnam competition. se resuelva el 12 de enero de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida By 2028, AI can perform as well as the best human entrants in the Putnam competition.?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Perform as well as the best human entrants in the Putnam competition—a math contest whose questions have known solutions, but which are difficult for the best young mathematicians