¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Before 2028, will I be able to train a Super Smash Bros. Melee ML agent that beats me in a Bo5 set??

Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 54.8% a fecha de 25 de octubre de 2026.

Before 2028, will I be able to train a Super Smash Bros. Melee ML agent that beats me in a Bo5 set?

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Pronóstico comunitario actual

Sí 54.8%

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Play-money forecasting platform

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Actualizado hace 7 horas

Desactualizado

24 feb 26, 13:36 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC

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Resultado24hProbabilidad

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It has been demonstrated that ML can be used to produce superhuman SSBM agents, e.g. the Phillip project.

At some point, I would like to try training my own ML agent with some tweaks on the Phillip methodology.
I am a hobbyist programmer and have very little ML experience.
I will be relying almost entirely on existing resources and LLMs to guide me through the process.
After resolution, I will conduct a best-of-five set (under the competitive ruleset at the time) against the strongest agent I have produced (if any).
Resolves to YES if I lose the Bo5 set.