Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 87.8%
Pronosticadores
22
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado7 ago 25, 12:07 UTC1 ene 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Barack Obama participate in a rally for Abdul El Sayed?
Manifold MarketsBarack Obama or Hasan Piker, who will be seen next with Abdul El Sayed?
Manifold MarketsWill Barack Obama be alive on the day a human walks on Mars?
Manifold MarketsObama arrested before 2027?
PolymarketNothing Ever Happens: Obama
PolymarketObama federally charged before 2027?
PolymarketReglas
This market assesses the likelihood of former President Barack Obama being arrested on or before January 1, 2029.
- Recent political developments have seen accusations and calls for legal action against Obama, including claims of treason and espionage.
- However, as of August 7, 2025, no formal charges or arrests have been made.
- This market will resolve to 'Yes' if credible reports from reputable news organizations confirm Obama's arrest by the specified date; otherwise, it will resolve to 'No'.
Mercados abiertos
Politics
KALSHINH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Stefany Shaheen+81.8pt100%
- Maura Sullivan-81.6pt0%
- Carleigh Beriont-2.7pt0%
- Volumen total
- 957,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 760,7 mil €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.2%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.1%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-3.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.9pt45.5%
- Renan Santos1%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+2.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-1.3pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.6pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.2pt37.1%
- Édouard Philippe32%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.4%
+38 resultados más
- Volumen total
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- NJ-07 House winner?
- IA-01 House winner?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Barack Obama arrested before January 1, 2029?
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 88% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Barack Obama arrested before January 1, 2029?
- Está previsto que Barack Obama arrested before January 1, 2029 se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Barack Obama arrested before January 1, 2029?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market assesses the likelihood of former President Barack Obama being arrested on or before January 1, 2029.