¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Barack Obama arrested before January 1, 2029?

Manifold Markets cotiza No al 87.8% a fecha de 29 de octubre de 2026.

¿Cuándo se resuelve Barack Obama arrested before January 1, 2029?

Está previsto que Barack Obama arrested before January 1, 2029 se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2029.

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibrado

Pronóstico comunitario actual

No 87.8%

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 8 horas

Desactualizado

7 ago 25, 12:07 UTC1 ene 29, 23:59 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Reglas

This market assesses the likelihood of former President Barack Obama being arrested on or before January 1, 2029.

Recent political developments have seen accusations and calls for legal action against Obama, including claims of treason and espionage.
However, as of August 7, 2025, no formal charges or arrests have been made.
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if credible reports from reputable news organizations confirm Obama's arrest by the specified date; otherwise, it will resolve to 'No'.