At the beginning of 2027, will Americans like Sam Altman more than they like Mark Zuckerberg?
IAOne-OffTecnología2mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 62.6%
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36
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binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 21 horas
Desactualizado4 abr 24, 5:59 UTC2 ene 27, 7:59 UTC
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This resolves based on the net-positivity score of the most recent polls I can find asking Americans, age 18 and above, what their opinion of Sam Altman and Mark Zuckerberg are.
- (I might get estimates for each from different polls or from the same poll).
- Net-positivity scores are calculated as (sum of percentage of the population that has an overall positive sentiment) - (sum of percentage of the population that has an overall negative sentiment).
- For instance, according to this YouGov poll of 1500 US adult citizens,from November 2023,
- 5% have a very favorable opinion of Sam Altman.
- 11% have a somewhat favorable opinion of him.
