Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualNo 90.7%
Pronosticadores
16
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 horas
Desactualizado6 jun 23, 14:38 UTC7 jun 27, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will a future version of the Apple Vision Pro have a 6-hour battery life before 2027?
Manifold MarketsApple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?
PolymarketSomeone Crashes A Car Wearing Apple Vision Pro
Manifold MarketsWill Manifold develop an app for the Apple Vision Pro by EOY 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill people be wearing the Apple Vision Pro in public in London by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsNasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
KalshiReglas
Within any calendar year, global sales, must be over 50% of service sale counts for wearable ar/VR devices which cost at least 500$ absolute.
- Can resolve early
- Will use best availabile media reports