Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual≥$1.5T 90%Líder entre 9 opciones
Pronosticadores
3
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 14 horas
Desactualizado21 may 26, 19:10 UTC1 oct 27, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
OpenAI highest valuation by end of September 2027
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Manifold MarketsAnthropic highest valuation by end of September 2026
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
PolymarketWill Epic Games' valuation hit __ by September 30?
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PolymarketReglas
Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for Anthropic credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2027-09-30.
- Pre-IPO: valuation is set by primary funding rounds, tender offers, or IPO pricing.
- Secondary transactions between existing investors do not count — they reflect individual trades, not company-endorsed valuation events.
- Post-IPO: valuation = peak market cap between IPO and 2027-09-30 (highest closing share price × shares outstanding at that time).
- ≥$X resolves YES as soon as such a figure meets or exceeds $X; remaining thresholds resolve NO at close.
- Company announcements; SEC filings (S-1, 424B, 10-Q, 10-K); major financial press (The Information, Bloomberg, Reuters, WSJ).
Mercados abiertos
Regulation
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+3.0pt46%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-1.0pt37%
- Before Jul 1, 2027+3.0pt34%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 5,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 99,5 mil €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No80.2%
- Yes19.8%
- Volumen total
- 13,1 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 80,7 mil €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+1.5pt91%
- December 15,+4.5pt90%
- November 30,+5.5pt89%
+7 resultados más
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 202798%
- Before Apr 1, 202795%
- Before Feb 1, 202792%
+9 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 16,6 mil €
POLYMARKETDiscord IPO Closing Market Cap
- No IPO by December 31, 2027+27.3pt70.6%
- 11–14B-8.8pt10.8%
- 8–11B-3.3pt4.9%
+5 resultados más
KALSHIWill the cap on gambling loss reduction be repealed?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-3.0pt37.6%
- Before Sep 1, 202724.8%
- Before April 1, 202723.1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 264,4 mil €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Anthropic highest valuation by end of September 2027?
- Manifold Markets cotiza ≥$1.5T al 90% a fecha de 12 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Anthropic highest valuation by end of September 2027?
- Está previsto que Anthropic highest valuation by end of September 2027 se resuelva el 1 de octubre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Anthropic highest valuation by end of September 2027?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves each threshold based on the peak valuation for Anthropic credibly reported with an as-of date on or before 2027-09-30.