LimitlessComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaAviso de calidad de datosSin precio significativo
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 3:37 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Probabilidad implícita actual
Before Sep 1, 2026 50%
Before Sep 1, 2026 50%Calidad del mercado
22 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
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Liquidez
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Liquidez desconocidaDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 minutos
27 ago 26, 11:49 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsReglas
the named outcome · the named outcome.
If Tim Walz leaves as Governor of Minnesota after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Tim Walz must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period.
If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Outcome verified from ABC News Australia, Bloomberg News, CNBC, CNN, Deutsche Welle, Financial Times, Fox News, MSNBC, official government records and registries, Tim Walz, Politico, Reuters, the Associated Press, the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and BBC.
