Aviso de calidad de datosSin precio significativo
Datos del 6 oct 2026, 1:28 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Probabilidad implícita actual
Alberto Núñez Feijóo 78.3%Líder entre 3 opciones
Alberto Núñez Feijóo 78.3%Calidad del mercado
22 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
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Liquidez
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Liquidez desconocidaDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 minutos
5 oct 26, 13:02 UTC22 ago 28, 14:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiReglas
the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome.
If the named outcome becomes Prime Minister of Spain as a result of government formation following the next Spanish general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Aug 22, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).
If no government forms by Aug 22, 2028, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes.
- If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.
Outcome verified from Congress of Deputies and King of Spain.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Kalshi — Prime Minister of Spain after the next election? · Alberto Núñez Feijóo 73%