KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPunto medio del libro seleccionado
Before 2030 · —
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Precio guardado
Before 2030 25.5%Líder entre 4 opciones
Before 2030 25.5%Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
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Interés abierto
7,9 mil US$
Interés abierto medioCompra / Venta
— / —
Before 2030Spread
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 22 minutos
1 may 24, 12:00 UTC1 ene 27, 15:00 UTC
El gráfico y los cambios muestran probabilidades históricas guardadas, no el libro seleccionado en directo.
Tendencias
Fila seleccionada: punto medio del libro. Otras filas: referencias guardadas, posiblemente normalizadas; los cambios de 24h usan el historial guardado.
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 1h (informativo)
Profundidad de mercado · Before 2030
Cargando el libro seleccionado…
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Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will there be a Scottish independence referendum before 2027 if the Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Bill doesn't receive Royal Assent?
Manifold MarketsWill there be verified U.S. federal government actions intended to influence an Alberta independence referendum?
Manifold MarketsWill Greenland hold an independence referendum in 2026?
PredictItWill the Greenlandic Parliament pass a resolution by November 15 to schedule a national independence referendum?
Manifold MarketsAlberta votes YES in independence referendum by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Wales announce an independence referendum?
KalshiReglas
If a new Scottish independence referendum sanctioned by the UK government has been announced before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:UK Government
Reglas de cada resultado
- Before 2030
- If a new Scottish independence referendum sanctioned by the UK government has been announced before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2029
- If a new Scottish independence referendum sanctioned by the UK government has been announced before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2028
- If a new Scottish independence referendum sanctioned by the UK government has been announced before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2027
- If a new Scottish independence referendum sanctioned by the UK government has been announced before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
