Will there be a Scottish independence referendum before 2027 if the Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Bill doesn't receive Royal Assent?

PolíticaOne-Off3m

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Pronóstico comunitario actual

No 98%

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 10 horas

Desactualizado

18 ene 23, 2:09 UTC31 dic 26, 11:00 UTC

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Resultado24hProbabilidad

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Will there be a Scottish independence referendum before 2027 if the Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Bill doesn't receive Royal Assent?

PolíticaOne-Off3m

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Pronóstico comunitario actual

No 98%

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 10 horas

Desactualizado

18 ene 23, 2:09 UTC31 dic 26, 11:00 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Mercados Relacionados

Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.

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Kalshi

Will the Greenlandic Parliament pass a resolution by November 15 to schedule a national independence referendum?

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Alberta votes YES in independence referendum by end of 2026?

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Will there be verified U.S. federal government actions intended to influence an Alberta independence referendum?

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Will Greenland hold an independence referendum in 2026?

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Presidential Election Winner 2028

Polymarket

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(https://manifold.markets/embed/NcyRocks/will-the-gender-recognition-reform)[markets]

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Preguntas frecuentes

¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will there be a Scottish independence referendum before 2027 if the Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Bill doesn't receive Royal Assent??: Manifold Markets cotiza No al 98% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
¿Cuándo se resuelve Will there be a Scottish independence referendum before 2027 if the Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Bill doesn't receive Royal Assent??: Está previsto que Will there be a Scottish independence referendum before 2027 if the Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Bill doesn't receive Royal Assent? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
¿Cómo se liquida Will there be a Scottish independence referendum before 2027 if the Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Bill doesn't receive Royal Assent??: Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: (https://manifold.markets/embed/NcyRocks/will-the-gender-recognition-reform)[markets]

Will there be a Scottish independence referendum before 2027 if the Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Bill doesn't receive Royal Assent?

Will there be a Scottish independence referendum before 2027 if the Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Bill doesn't receive Royal Assent?

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