KalshiCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: Alaska (99%)
Evidencia de resolución limitada
CoinRithm puede mostrar el resultado registrado, pero no todos los campos de liquidación están verificados por el proveedor.
Probabilidad implícita actual
Alaska 99%Líder entre 16 opciones
Calidad del mercado
39 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
89,4 mil €
Liquidez
72,9 mil €
Alta liquidezDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado21 ago 26, 19:4022 ago 26, 16:10
Cronología de Probabilidad
AI / Artificial Intelligence30%
Alaska74%
Salmonella / E. Coli40%
Prince Harry / Meghan Markle41%
Iran (3+ times)46%
Trump (5+ times)61%
Tariff24%
Ukraine / Ukrainian1%
Ballroom83%
Vance27%
Swalwell32%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline1%
Russia / Russian1%
Ceasefire0%
Supreme Court68%
ICE1%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Reglas
If any host or reporter says the named outcome as part of ABC World News Tonight with David Muir , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- Video of the ABC World News Tonight with David Muir will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the ABC World News Tonight with David Muir will be used.
- Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
- Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
- For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
